Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

4 eventsData updated Oct 24, 2026, 06:03 UTC· Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

earnings: times said on each call
other hubs: said / not said on each settled listing
no appearance
chance it is said next time

Mon, Oct 26

4 events

VZVerizon

8:30 am ET

VZ: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	FY24 Q3	FY24 Q4	FY25 Q1	FY25 Q2	FY25 Q3	FY25 Q4	FY26 Q1	FY26 Q2	Chance next call: probability
PrepaidP 82¢	Prepaid: 6 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)	Prepaid: 6 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)	Prepaid: 21 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)	Prepaid: 18 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)	Prepaid: 3 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)	Prepaid: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)	Prepaid: 3 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)	Prepaid: 5 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)	90% from settlement history blended with transcripts
HeadwindK 88¢	Headwind: 5 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)	Headwind: 4 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)	Headwind: 1 time, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)	Headwind: 0 times, FY25 Q2	Headwind: 2 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)	Headwind: 4 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)	Headwind: 4 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)	Headwind: 5 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)	87% from settlement history blended with transcripts
SynergyK 86¢	Synergy: 0 times, FY24 Q3	Synergy: 0 times, FY24 Q4	Synergy: 0 times, FY25 Q1	Synergy: 2 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)	Synergy: 2 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)	Synergy: 5 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)	Synergy: 4 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)	Synergy: 1 time, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)	83% from settlement history blended with transcripts
LoyaltyK 90¢	Loyalty: 3 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)	Loyalty: 0 times, FY24 Q4	Loyalty: 4 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)	Loyalty: 3 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)	Loyalty: 2 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)	Loyalty: 2 times, FY25 Q4 (counts as said)	Loyalty: 1 time, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)	Loyalty: 10 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)	81% from settlement history blended with transcripts
InfrastructureP 57¢	Infrastructure: 1 time, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)	Infrastructure: 5 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)	Infrastructure: 0 times, FY25 Q1	Infrastructure: 2 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)	Infrastructure: 3 times, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)	Infrastructure: 0 times, FY25 Q4	Infrastructure: 2 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)	Infrastructure: 10 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)	81% from transcript model
HomeK 78¢	Home: 24 times, FY24 Q3 (counts as said)	Home: 4 times, FY24 Q4 (counts as said)	Home: 13 times, FY25 Q1 (counts as said)	Home: 2 times, FY25 Q2 (counts as said)	Home: 1 time, FY25 Q3 (counts as said)	Home: 0 times, FY25 Q4	Home: 4 times, FY26 Q1 (counts as said)	Home: 4 times, FY26 Q2 (counts as said)	80% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Kalshi

Polymarket+19 more words Last call · Jul 24, 2026

Donald TrumpMidterm Rally in Michigan

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
ElectricP 74¢	Electric: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Electric: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Electric: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Electric: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Electric: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Electric: said, 2 listings before the last	Electric: said, 1 listing before the last	Electric: said, the last settled listing	64% from settlement history
Transgender7+P 58¢	Transgender: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Transgender: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Transgender: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Transgender: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Transgender: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Transgender: not said, 2 listings before the last	Transgender: said, 1 listing before the last	Transgender: said, the last settled listing	56% from settlement history
RussiaP 76¢	Russia: not said, 7 listings before the last	Russia: said, 6 listings before the last	Russia: said, 5 listings before the last	Russia: not said, 4 listings before the last	Russia: not said, 3 listings before the last	Russia: said, 2 listings before the last	Russia: said, 1 listing before the last	Russia: said, the last settled listing	55% from settlement history
Million30+P 68¢	Million: said, 7 listings before the last	Million: not said, 6 listings before the last	Million: not said, 5 listings before the last	Million: said, 4 listings before the last	Million: said, 3 listings before the last	Million: not said, 2 listings before the last	Million: not said, 1 listing before the last	Million: said, the last settled listing	54% from settlement history
HormuzP 72¢	Hormuz: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Hormuz: said, 6 listings before the last	Hormuz: not said, 5 listings before the last	Hormuz: not said, 4 listings before the last	Hormuz: not said, 3 listings before the last	Hormuz: said, 2 listings before the last	Hormuz: said, 1 listing before the last	Hormuz: said, the last settled listing	53% from settlement history
MarxistP 40¢	Marxist: said, 7 listings before the last	Marxist: said, 6 listings before the last	Marxist: said, 5 listings before the last	Marxist: said, 4 listings before the last	Marxist: said, 3 listings before the last	Marxist: said, 2 listings before the last	Marxist: not said, 1 listing before the last	Marxist: said, the last settled listing	51% from settlement history

Polymarket+13 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026

JD VanceRally in Kansas

JD Vance: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
DemocratK 80¢	Democrat: said, 7 listings before the last	Democrat: said, 6 listings before the last	Democrat: said, 5 listings before the last	Democrat: said, 4 listings before the last	Democrat: said, 3 listings before the last	Democrat: said, 2 listings before the last	Democrat: said, 1 listing before the last	Democrat: said, the last settled listing	84% from settlement history
ElectionK 80¢	Election: said, 7 listings before the last	Election: said, 6 listings before the last	Election: said, 5 listings before the last	Election: said, 4 listings before the last	Election: said, 3 listings before the last	Election: said, 2 listings before the last	Election: said, 1 listing before the last	Election: said, the last settled listing	78% from settlement history
2028K 60¢	2028: said, 7 listings before the last	2028: said, 6 listings before the last	2028: said, 5 listings before the last	2028: said, 4 listings before the last	2028: said, 3 listings before the last	2028: said, 2 listings before the last	2028: said, 1 listing before the last	2028: said, the last settled listing	72% from settlement history
BidenK 72¢	Biden: said, 7 listings before the last	Biden: said, 6 listings before the last	Biden: said, 5 listings before the last	Biden: not said, 4 listings before the last	Biden: said, 3 listings before the last	Biden: said, 2 listings before the last	Biden: not said, 1 listing before the last	Biden: not said, the last settled listing	67% from settlement history
Tax on TipsK 68¢	Tax on Tips: said, 7 listings before the last	Tax on Tips: said, 6 listings before the last	Tax on Tips: said, 5 listings before the last	Tax on Tips: said, 4 listings before the last	Tax on Tips: not said, 3 listings before the last	Tax on Tips: said, 2 listings before the last	Tax on Tips: not said, 1 listing before the last	Tax on Tips: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history
Illegal AlienK 35¢	Illegal Alien: said, 7 listings before the last	Illegal Alien: said, 6 listings before the last	Illegal Alien: said, 5 listings before the last	Illegal Alien: not said, 4 listings before the last	Illegal Alien: not said, 3 listings before the last	Illegal Alien: said, 2 listings before the last	Illegal Alien: said, 1 listing before the last	Illegal Alien: not said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history

Kalshi+21 more words

OracleOracle AI World keynote

Oracle: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
MulticloudK 54¢	Multicloud: said, 4 listings before the last	Multicloud: said, 3 listings before the last	Multicloud: said, 2 listings before the last	Multicloud: said, 1 listing before the last	Multicloud: said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history
HealthK 80¢	Health: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Health: said, 3 listings before the last	Health: said, 2 listings before the last	Health: said, 1 listing before the last	Health: said, the last settled listing	60% from settlement history
NVIDIAK 27¢	NVIDIA: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	NVIDIA: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	NVIDIA: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	NVIDIA: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	NVIDIA: said, the last settled listing	– too little history for a probability
AutomationK 70¢	Automation: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Automation: not said, 3 listings before the last	Automation: said, 2 listings before the last	Automation: not said, 1 listing before the last	Automation: said, the last settled listing	47% from settlement history
SovereignK 39¢	Sovereign: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Sovereign: not said, 3 listings before the last	Sovereign: said, 2 listings before the last	Sovereign: not said, 1 listing before the last	Sovereign: said, the last settled listing	47% from settlement history
DebtK 20¢	Debt: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Debt: said, 3 listings before the last	Debt: said, 2 listings before the last	Debt: said, 1 listing before the last	Debt: not said, the last settled listing	47% from settlement history

Kalshi+8 more words Last call · Sep 10, 2026