Will Oracle say “Sovereign”?
Oracle said “Sovereign” 4 times on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 16, 0, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Oracle said “Sovereign” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 39¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Oracle
Sovereign
- Probability
- 47% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Now, specific to your sovereign cloud question, look, our Alloy business is doing well. We have got a lot of partners in Japan. We have…
…GPU capabilities for those customers, and they deploy that for those on sovereign workloads. Obviously, we also have a very large and very rapidly growing…
Counts: company speakers + operator
16 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 15 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…OCI for their mission-critical B2B platform. Claro Brazil selected OCI Alloy for Sovereign AI. Air France-KLM, which is a multicloud win, featuring a win with…
…turn it over to Doug for your question on CapEx is around Sovereign AI. Our sovereign story is not new, and it is not a…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…there are whole parts that are only now rolling out which are sovereign clouds disconnected clouds. And so we've laid out quite a lot of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Oracle say “Sovereign” on its last earnings call?
- Oracle said “Sovereign” 4 times on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 16, 0, 4 times.
- How often does Oracle say “Sovereign”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Oracle said “Sovereign” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Oracle says “Sovereign” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Oracle: ‘Sovereign’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ORCL/words/sovereign (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=oracle&word=sovereign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=oracle&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP