Sat, Oct 24, 2026 Today

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

4 eventsData updated Oct 24, 2026, 08:49 UTC· Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

said / not said on each settled listing
no appearance
chance it is said next time

Sat, Oct 24

Today4 events

Donald TrumpRally in Georgia

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
DividendK 96¢	Dividend: said, 7 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 6 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 5 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 4 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 3 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 2 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 1 listing before the last	Dividend: said, the last settled listing	90% from settlement history
Save America ActK 96¢	Save America Act: not said, 7 listings before the last	Save America Act: said, 6 listings before the last	Save America Act: said, 5 listings before the last	Save America Act: said, 4 listings before the last	Save America Act: said, 3 listings before the last	Save America Act: said, 2 listings before the last	Save America Act: said, 1 listing before the last	Save America Act: said, the last settled listing	78% from settlement history
Sleepy JoeK 92¢	Sleepy Joe: said, 7 listings before the last	Sleepy Joe: said, 6 listings before the last	Sleepy Joe: said, 5 listings before the last	Sleepy Joe: said, 4 listings before the last	Sleepy Joe: said, 3 listings before the last	Sleepy Joe: said, 2 listings before the last	Sleepy Joe: said, 1 listing before the last	Sleepy Joe: said, the last settled listing	76% from settlement history
Nuclear3+K 90¢	Nuclear: said, 7 listings before the last	Nuclear: not said, 6 listings before the last	Nuclear: said, 5 listings before the last	Nuclear: not said, 4 listings before the last	Nuclear: said, 3 listings before the last	Nuclear: said, 2 listings before the last	Nuclear: said, 1 listing before the last	Nuclear: said, the last settled listing	72% from settlement history
TransgenderK 98¢	Transgender: said, 7 listings before the last	Transgender: said, 6 listings before the last	Transgender: said, 5 listings before the last	Transgender: said, 4 listings before the last	Transgender: said, 3 listings before the last	Transgender: said, 2 listings before the last	Transgender: said, 1 listing before the last	Transgender: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history
Supreme CourtK 90¢	Supreme Court: said, 7 listings before the last	Supreme Court: said, 6 listings before the last	Supreme Court: said, 5 listings before the last	Supreme Court: said, 4 listings before the last	Supreme Court: not said, 3 listings before the last	Supreme Court: said, 2 listings before the last	Supreme Court: said, 1 listing before the last	Supreme Court: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history

Kalshi

Polymarket+40 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026

Barack ObamaMidterm rally in Ohio

Barack Obama: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
MichelleK 55¢	Michelle: said, 2 listings before the last	Michelle: said, 1 listing before the last	Michelle: said, the last settled listing	59% from settlement history
ChicagoK 26¢	Chicago: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Chicago: said, 1 listing before the last	Chicago: said, the last settled listing	58% from settlement history
AffordK 92¢	Afford: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Afford: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	Afford: said, the last settled listing	– too little history for a probability
250K 16¢	250: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	250: not said, 1 listing before the last	250: said, the last settled listing	46% from settlement history
ConstitutionK 83¢	Constitution: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Constitution: not said, 1 listing before the last	Constitution: said, the last settled listing	46% from settlement history
BidenK 31¢	Biden: not said, 2 listings before the last	Biden: said, 1 listing before the last	Biden: not said, the last settled listing	41% from settlement history

Kalshi+18 more words

Bernie SandersRally in Duluth

Bernie Sanders: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
IranK 82¢	Iran: said, 7 listings before the last	Iran: said, 6 listings before the last	Iran: said, 5 listings before the last	Iran: said, 4 listings before the last	Iran: said, 3 listings before the last	Iran: said, 2 listings before the last	Iran: said, 1 listing before the last	Iran: said, the last settled listing	83% from settlement history
AIK 92¢	AI: said, 7 listings before the last	AI: not said, 6 listings before the last	AI: said, 5 listings before the last	AI: said, 4 listings before the last	AI: said, 3 listings before the last	AI: said, 2 listings before the last	AI: said, 1 listing before the last	AI: said, the last settled listing	80% from settlement history
Billionaire5+K 74¢	Billionaire: said, 7 listings before the last	Billionaire: said, 6 listings before the last	Billionaire: said, 5 listings before the last	Billionaire: said, 4 listings before the last	Billionaire: said, 3 listings before the last	Billionaire: said, 2 listings before the last	Billionaire: said, 1 listing before the last	Billionaire: not said, the last settled listing	73% from settlement history
HousingK 85¢	Housing: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Housing: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Housing: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Housing: said, 4 listings before the last	Housing: not said, 3 listings before the last	Housing: said, 2 listings before the last	Housing: said, 1 listing before the last	Housing: said, the last settled listing	68% from settlement history
CorruptK 82¢	Corrupt: said, 7 listings before the last	Corrupt: not said, 6 listings before the last	Corrupt: said, 5 listings before the last	Corrupt: said, 4 listings before the last	Corrupt: not said, 3 listings before the last	Corrupt: said, 2 listings before the last	Corrupt: said, 1 listing before the last	Corrupt: said, the last settled listing	65% from settlement history
ClimateK 72¢	Climate: not said, 7 listings before the last	Climate: not said, 6 listings before the last	Climate: said, 5 listings before the last	Climate: said, 4 listings before the last	Climate: said, 3 listings before the last	Climate: said, 2 listings before the last	Climate: not said, 1 listing before the last	Climate: said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history

Kalshi+14 more words

MrBeastNext gaming YouTube video

By Sat, Oct 24

MrBeast: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
MinecraftP 51¢	Minecraft: said, 7 listings before the last	Minecraft: said, 6 listings before the last	Minecraft: not said, 5 listings before the last	Minecraft: not said, 4 listings before the last	Minecraft: said, 3 listings before the last	Minecraft: said, 2 listings before the last	Minecraft: said, 1 listing before the last	Minecraft: said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history
HideP 50¢	Hide: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Hide: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Hide: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Hide: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Hide: not said, 3 listings before the last	Hide: said, 2 listings before the last	Hide: said, 1 listing before the last	Hide: said, the last settled listing	53% from settlement history
BuildP 50¢	Build: said, 7 listings before the last	Build: said, 6 listings before the last	Build: not said, 5 listings before the last	Build: not said, 4 listings before the last	Build: said, 3 listings before the last	Build: said, 2 listings before the last	Build: said, 1 listing before the last	Build: not said, the last settled listing	52% from settlement history
FeastableP 50¢	Feastable: not said, 7 listings before the last	Feastable: not said, 6 listings before the last	Feastable: not said, 5 listings before the last	Feastable: said, 4 listings before the last	Feastable: not said, 3 listings before the last	Feastable: said, 2 listings before the last	Feastable: said, 1 listing before the last	Feastable: not said, the last settled listing	39% from settlement history
FightP 50¢	Fight: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Fight: said, 6 listings before the last	Fight: not said, 5 listings before the last	Fight: not said, 4 listings before the last	Fight: said, 3 listings before the last	Fight: said, 2 listings before the last	Fight: not said, 1 listing before the last	Fight: not said, the last settled listing	39% from settlement history
PrizeP 50¢	Prize: not said, 7 listings before the last	Prize: said, 6 listings before the last	Prize: not said, 5 listings before the last	Prize: not said, 4 listings before the last	Prize: not said, 3 listings before the last	Prize: not said, 2 listings before the last	Prize: not said, 1 listing before the last	Prize: said, the last settled listing	36% from settlement history

Polymarket+5 more words Last transcript · Oct 17, 2026