Will “Green” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Green” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (27%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Green
- Probability
- 38% · n=11
- Settled
- 3/11 (27%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…parties crystal-clear. Will the Prime Minister make it equally clear, following the Green party’s descent into the most abhorrent antisemitism, that he will rule out…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Prime Minister to his place. He knows the importance of protecting local green belt; indeed, he made it a key part of his by-election campaign…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…votes and democracy. But I have got to say this to the Greens: during the local elections, a Green councillor in Lewisham described me and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Will he scrap Labour’s disastrous grey-belt policy and help protect the precious green-belt spaces and green areas across Aldridge-Brownhills? If not, his legacy will be…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | Green |  Polymarket | No | – |
| May 20, 2026 | Green / Greens | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Greens |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Green | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Green | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Green” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Green” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (27%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Green” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Green’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/green (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=green · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP