Prime Minister's Questions, Nov 12, 2025

By Nov 12PMQsHistory onlyPrime Minister's Questions

Updated

Markets

12 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Agriculture No–new new word, no probability yet–
AI No–new new word, no probability yet–
Austerity / Spending Cut No–new new word, no probability yet–
Covid / Pandemic No–new new word, no probability yet–
Crisis No–new new word, no probability yet–
Footing No–new new word, no probability yet–
Green No–new new word, no probability yet–
Infrastructure No–new new word, no probability yet–
Liz / Truss No–new new word, no probability yet–
Police No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff No–new new word, no probability yet–
United Kingdom No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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