Will Donald Trump say “Zelensky”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Zelensky” at 7 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (70%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Zelensky
- Probability
- 52% · n=10
- Settled
- 7/10 (70%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Zelensky |  Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Zelensky |  Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Zelensky | Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Zelensky | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Zelensky | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Zelensky | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Zelensky | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Zelensky | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Zelensky | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Zelensky | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Zelensky | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Zelensky”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Zelensky” at 7 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (70%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Zelensky” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Zelensky’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/zelensky (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=zelensky · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP