Will Donald Trump say “Weave”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Weave” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 18, 2024 (33%), most recently on Nov 2, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

50%from settlement history only · n=6Next: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
42¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Weave

Probability
50% · n=6
Settled
2/6 (33%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Nov 2, 2024WeavePolymarketYes
Oct 30, 2024WeavePolymarketNo
Oct 25, 2024WeavePolymarketYes
Oct 24, 2024WeavePolymarketNo
Oct 19, 2024WeavePolymarketNo
Oct 18, 2024WeavePolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Weave”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Weave” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 18, 2024 (33%), most recently on Nov 2, 2024.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Weave” next time?
50%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Weave’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/weave (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=weave · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP