Donald Trump: Remarks, Jan 29, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump or Melania say during the screening of "Melania"?
Markets
9 words · 2 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Book | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Honey / Darling | Yes | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| TV / Television | No | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| The Apprentice | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Star | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Incredible job / Fantastic job | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bestseller | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Slovenia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 6%n=247 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-or-melania-say-during-the-screening-of-melania · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP