Will Donald Trump say “Steve / Witkoff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Steve / Witkoff” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 8, 2025 (62%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 5/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Steve / Witkoff
- Probability
- 47% · n=8
- Settled
- 5/8 (62%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…has ever done before. And thank you sir. Thank you very much, Steve. Appreciate it. Kash, please. Kash Patel: Thank you, Mr. President. And first…
Thank you. Great job you're doing appreciate it. Really great. Steve?
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Steve / Witkoff |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Steve / Witkoff | Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Steve / Witkoff | Polymarket | Yes |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Steve / Witkoff | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Steve / Witkoff | Polymarket | No |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Steve / Witkoff | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 21, 2025 | Steve / Witkoff | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Steve / Witkoff | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Steve / Witkoff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Steve / Witkoff” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 8, 2025 (62%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Steve / Witkoff” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Steve / Witkoff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/steve-or-witkoff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=steve%20%2F%20witkoff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP