Will Donald Trump say “Rogan”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rogan” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 23, 2024 (17%), most recently on Nov 4, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rogan
- Probability
- 48% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rogan”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rogan” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 23, 2024 (17%), most recently on Nov 4, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rogan” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rogan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rogan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rogan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP