Donald Trump: Interview, Oct 29, 2024
Polymarket What will Trump say during Hannity interview?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trans | Yes | 64%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | Yes | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News | Yes | 49%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Border 5+ times | Yes | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Puerto Rico/Rican | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nazi | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kamala 8+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mail-In Ballot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleepy/Crooked Joe | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rogan | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Comrade Kamala | No | 34%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto/Btitcoin | No | 11%n=44 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-hannity-interview · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP