Donald Trump: Speech, Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket What nicknames will Trump say during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Markets
21 words · 1 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green New Scam | Yes | 57%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | No | 73%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | 63%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | No | 58%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Crooked Hillary | No | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Sleazebag | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Slopadopolous | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Con Job | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Marjorie Traitor Greene | No | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tampon Tim | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pocahontas | No | 48%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Whack Job / Whackjob | No | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden Crime Family | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crazy Bernie | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fat Slob | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Little Communist | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Low Energy | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Piggy | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Comrade Kamala | No | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Rocket Man | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-nicknames-will-trump-say-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP