Donald Trump: Monthly window, Apr 1, 2026
Kalshi What nicknames will Trump say before April?
Coverage
1 known appearances1 of 1 known appearance transcribed Window: Jan 6, 2026 to Apr 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
24 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 4 of 4- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green New Scam | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 51%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 74%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Too Late | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 51%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Low IQ | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | – | 68%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck | Yes | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Whack Job / Wack Job | Yes | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sleazebag | Yes | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crooked Hillary | Yes | – | 0 | – | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Marjorie Traitor Greene | Yes | – | 0 | – | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Witch Hunt | Yes | – | 0 | – | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Con Job | Yes | – | 0 | – | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | – | 51%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Slopadopolous | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pocahontas | No | – | 0 | – | 53%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Tampon Tim | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden Crime Family | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crazy Bernie | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fat Slob | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Little Communist | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Low Energy | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Piggy | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Comrade Kamala | No | – | 0 | – | 41%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Rocket Man | No | – | 0 | – | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26APR01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP