Donald Trump: Monthly window, Jan 1, 2026
Kalshi What nicknames will Trump say this year?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Nov 18, 2025 to Jan 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
23 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 79%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | – | 0 | 68%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Crooked Hillary | Yes | – | 0 | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Newscum | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marjorie Traitor Greene | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleazebag | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Slopadopolous | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pocahontas | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Too Late | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Whack Job / Wack Job | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Con Job | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Green New Scam | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Low IQ | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biden Crime Family | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crazy Bernie | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fake Tapper | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Little Communist | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Low Energy | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Piggy | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rocket Man | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran The Moron / Moron Zohran | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Comrade Kamala | No | – | 0 | 49%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JAN01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP