Will Donald Trump say “Nazi / Hitler”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Nazi / Hitler” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 5, 2025 (14%), most recently on Jun 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Nazi / Hitler
- Probability
- 35% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nazi / Hitler |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Nazi / Hitler | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Hitler / Nazi | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Nazi / Hitler | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Nazi / Hitler | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Hitler / Nazi | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Nazi / Hitler | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Nazi / Hitler”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Nazi / Hitler” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 5, 2025 (14%), most recently on Jun 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Nazi / Hitler” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Nazi / Hitler’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hitler-or-nazi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hitler%20%2F%20nazi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP