Donald Trump: Interview, Sep 12, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say at Fox & Friends on September 12?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington / DC | Yes | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hottest Country | Yes | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 46%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden 3+ times | Yes | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Charlie / Kirk 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Young People | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| FBI / Secret Service 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Good Morning | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Patriot / Hero 4+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hitler / Nazi | No | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 10%n=117 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-at-fox-friends-on-september-12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP