Will Donald Trump say “Europe / European”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Europe / European” at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2025 (75%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 6/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Europe / European
- Probability
- 44% · n=8
- Settled
- 6/8 (75%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…very difficult president, they were going after me. How dare he treat Europe? How dare he treat Denmark that way? And Denmark was great. We…
…the United States of America right now than ever before. And in Europe, crippling environmental regulations like those supported and and demanded by this stupid…
…environment. The shrimp are so loaded with antibiotics and disinfectants that no European country will take them. So they ship them all over here and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Ocean to the American Ocean. How do you think our friends in Europe, I actually called up Sundar from Google, you know, Google maps is…
…Ocean. We're gonna go with the American ocean. How do you think Europe How do you think Europe would feel? Do you think they'd like…
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Europe / European |  Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Europe / European |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Europe / European | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Europe / European | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Europe / European | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Europe / European | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Europe / European | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Europe / European | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Europe / European | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Europe / European”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Europe / European” at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2025 (75%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Europe / European” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Europe / European’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/europe-or-european (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=europe%20%2F%20european · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP