Will Donald Trump say “Cat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cat” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2024 (25%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Cat
- Probability
- 40% · n=8
- Settled
- 2/8 (25%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you still like me. That's very nice. Thank you, man. Cool. Cool cats. to have a group of them and they're great and we appreciate…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cat |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (35 of 47 known appearances transcribed)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Cat | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 31, 2026 | Cat | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Cat | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Cat | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Cat | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Cat | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Cat | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Cat”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cat” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2024 (25%), most recently on Apr 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Cat” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Cat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP