Donald Trump: Monthly window, May 31, 2026
Polymarket What animals will Trump say in May?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 1, 2026 to May 31, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
29 words · 13 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snake | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tiger | Yes | – | 0 | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Dog | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Bear | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bull | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elephant | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Giraffe | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lion | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shark | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Eagle | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fish | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Turkey / Turkiye | Yes | – | 0 | 49%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Bird | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cat | No | – | 0 | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Deer | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Frog | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hippo / Hippopotamus | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mouse | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Panther | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Turtle | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Whale | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wolf | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mosquito | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hawk | No | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pig | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kangaroo | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chicken | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Rabbit / Bunny | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Goat | No | – | 0 | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-animals-will-trump-say-in-may · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP