Will Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 12+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 12+ times at 8 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 26, 2025 (62%), most recently on May 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (12+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times
- Probability
- 55% · n=13
- Settled
- 8/13 (62%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It…
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
…years ago, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. And
…lovely community from Somalia, lovely country -- in Minneapolis, Minnesota, was stealing billions and billions of dollars, taxpayer money, through fraudulent childcare centers and other…
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Trillion / Million / Billion 12+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million / Billion / Trillion” 12+ times at 8 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 26, 2025 (62%), most recently on May 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-or-trillion-12plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20trillion%20%2812%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP