Will Donald Trump say “Thousand / Million / Billion” 10+ times?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Thousand / Million / Billion” 10+ times at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 15, 2025 (29%), most recently on Oct 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

35%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times

Probability
35% · n=7
Settled
2/7 (29%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 3:04In transcript

…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 14:10In transcript

…I'd say that's right there. How about what they've done destroying Minnesota. 500,000 people. They destroyed they're destroying Well, maybe it could be saved. We…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 2:21In transcript

…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 18:59In transcript

…years ago, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. And

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 36:46In transcript

…lovely community from Somalia, lovely country -- in Minneapolis, Minnesota, was stealing billions and billions of dollars, taxpayer money, through fraudulent childcare centers and other…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 28, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ timesPolymarketNo
Oct 10, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ timesPolymarketYes
Oct 9, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ timesPolymarketNo
Sep 29, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ timesPolymarketNo
Sep 11, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ timesPolymarketNo
Sep 3, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ timesPolymarketNo
Aug 15, 2025Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Thousand / Million / Billion” 10+ times at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 15, 2025 (29%), most recently on Oct 10, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times” next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-million-or-thousand-10plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20million%20%2F%20thousand%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP