Donald Trump: Remarks, Sep 11, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during 9-11 memorial event at the Pentagon?
Markets
16 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| War | Yes | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| America / American 20+ times | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Flight 93 | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Patriot / Hero 6+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | 74%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | 53%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Manhattan | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vietnam / Korea | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Al-Qaeda | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God / Evil 7+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jet Fuel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pentagon 6+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Twin Towers | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | 6%n=116 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-9-11-memorial-event-at-the-pentagon-229 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP