Will Donald Trump say “AI”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “AI” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (17%), most recently on Sep 25, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

40%from settlement history only · n=6Next: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
24¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

AI

Probability
40% · n=6
Settled
1/6 (17%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 21:06In transcript

…that can answer those questions, I'll tell you. But I put in a I wanted to do an executive order where every anybody running for…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland · Sep 23, 2026 · 1:56In transcript

No, you have a—I think it's sort of the—if you—if you go by points, I think it's the ultimate crowd. I wish we had more…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 34:18In transcript

…was dead. These are the same people that are now saying that AI is going to kill us all, that robots are going to attack…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2024AIPolymarketNo
Oct 1, 2024AIPolymarketNo
Sep 28, 2024AIPolymarketNo
Sep 27, 2024AIPolymarketNo
Sep 25, 2024AIPolymarketYes
Sep 4, 2024AIPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “AI”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “AI” at 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 4, 2024 (17%), most recently on Sep 25, 2024.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “AI” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘AI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ai (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ai · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP