Will “Injury / Injured” be said on the next Winter Olympics broadcast?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Injury / Injured” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 1 of 4 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any official commentator
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
any official commentator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Winter Olympics

Injury / Injured

Probability
43% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)

Next listing counts: any official commentator

We don’t have transcripts for Winter Olympics yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: USA vs Canada · not listed

Open the appearance

Mention: Olympics Closing Ceremony · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Freeski Halfpipe: Final · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: USA vs Slovakia · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: Finland vs Canada · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Women's Freeski Halfpipe: Qualifying · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Women's Ice Hockey: USA vs Canada · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Women's Ice Hockey: Switzerland vs Sweden · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: USA vs Sweden · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: Canada vs Czechia · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 18, 2026Injury / InjuredKalshiNo
Feb 17, 2026Injury / InjuredKalshiYes
Feb 13, 2026Injury / InjuredKalshiNo
Feb 10, 2026Injury / InjuredKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Injury / Injured” said on Winter Olympics broadcasts?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Injury / Injured” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 1 of 4 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Feb 16, 2026.
What is the probability “Injury / Injured” is said on Winter Olympics broadcasts next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Winter Olympics: ‘Injury / Injured’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/winter-olympics/words/injured-or-injury (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=winter-olympics&word=injured%20%2F%20injury · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=winter-olympics&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP