Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 19, 2026

Thu, Feb 19GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

14 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Hand Yes70%n=2 from settlement history–
Switch Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Powder Yes56%n=5 from settlement history–
X Games Yes56%n=5 from settlement history–
Cork / Corks / Corked Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Big Air Yes52%n=2 from settlement history–
Tweak / Tweaks / Tweaked No70%n=2 from settlement history–
Avalanche No–new new word, no probability yet–
Snoop Dogg No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tahoe No–new new word, no probability yet–
Goggles No45%n=5 from settlement history–
1260 No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Lindsey Vonn No37%n=4 from settlement history–
Red Bull No21%n=5 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP