Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 21, 2026
Kalshi Announcers at Olympics Men's Freeski Halfpipe: Final
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hand | Yes | 75%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tweak / Tweaks / Tweaked | Yes | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Critical | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 1440 | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Goggles | Yes | 40%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Powder | No | 61%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| X Games | No | 61%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Boost / Boosts / Boosted | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rodeo | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Avalanche | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Snoop Dogg | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tahoe | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Lindsey Vonn | No | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Red Bull | No | 18%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26MAR01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP