Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 19, 2026

Thu, Feb 19GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

18 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Captain Yes81%n=5 from settlement history–
Glass Yes75%n=7 from settlement history–
Overtime Yes75%n=7 from settlement history–
Shootout Yes75%n=7 from settlement history–
Shutout Yes75%n=7 from settlement history–
First Time / First Timer Yes72%n=6 from settlement history–
Crowd / Crowded Yes68%n=5 from settlement history–
Comeback / Come back Yes64%n=7 from settlement history–
Veteran Yes36%n=7 from settlement history–
Fight / Fighting No75%n=7 from settlement history–
Minnesota No70%n=2 from settlement history–
NHL No70%n=9 from settlement history–
Short Side No55%n=7 from settlement history–
What a Save No51%n=2 from settlement history–
Hat Trick No26%n=7 from settlement history–
Heated Rivalry No24%n=4 from settlement history–
Miracle on Ice No18%n=6 from settlement history–
What a Goal / What a Shot No14%n=8 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP