Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 22, 2026
Kalshi Mention: Olympics Closing Ceremony
Markets
18 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named broadcast crew Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| French Alps | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mikaela Shiffrin | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Amphitheater | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lindsey Vonn | Yes | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| NHL | No | 69%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| ACL | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Arianna Fontana | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Armani | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bocelli | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Jamaica | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ralph Lauren | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vance | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| War / Conflict / Invasion | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gladiator | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dope / Doping | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Paralympic / Paralympics | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pizza | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trans / Transgender | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26MAR06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP