Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 24, 2026

Tue, Feb 24GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

18 words · 13 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Captain Yes86%n=8 from settlement history–
Glass Yes80%n=10 from settlement history–
Overtime Yes80%n=10 from settlement history–
First Time / First Timer Yes78%n=9 from settlement history–
Comeback / Come back Yes72%n=10 from settlement history–
Crowd / Crowded Yes67%n=8 from settlement history–
NHL Yes64%n=13 from settlement history–
Fight / Fighting Yes64%n=10 from settlement history–
Shootout Yes64%n=10 from settlement history–
Short Side Yes57%n=10 from settlement history–
Minnesota Yes56%n=5 from settlement history–
What a Save Yes44%n=5 from settlement history–
Miracle on Ice Yes21%n=9 from settlement history–
Shutout No64%n=10 from settlement history–
Veteran No35%n=10 from settlement history–
What a Goal / What a Shot No25%n=11 from settlement history–
Hat Trick No20%n=10 from settlement history–
Heated Rivalry No15%n=7 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26MAR04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP