Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 13, 2026

Fri, Feb 13GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

15 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
2022 Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Goofy Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
3 Peat / 3 Straight / 3 Consecutive Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Mammoth Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Method Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Myles Garrett Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Shaun White Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Stalefish Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Goggle Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Powder No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
X Games No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
1260 No–new new word, no probability yet–
Big Air No–new new word, no probability yet–
Injury / Injured No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Red Bull No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP