Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 19, 2026

Thu, Feb 19GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

18 words · 11 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Captain Yes79%n=4 from settlement history–
Glass Yes72%n=6 from settlement history–
Overtime Yes72%n=6 from settlement history–
Fight / Fighting Yes72%n=6 from settlement history–
Shootout Yes72%n=6 from settlement history–
Shutout Yes72%n=6 from settlement history–
First Time / First Timer Yes68%n=5 from settlement history–
Crowd / Crowded Yes64%n=4 from settlement history–
Minnesota Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Comeback / Come back Yes61%n=6 from settlement history–
Veteran Yes29%n=6 from settlement history–
NHL No77%n=8 from settlement history–
What a Save No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Short Side No61%n=6 from settlement history–
Hat Trick No29%n=6 from settlement history–
Heated Rivalry No28%n=3 from settlement history–
Miracle on Ice No21%n=5 from settlement history–
What a Goal / What a Shot No16%n=7 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP