Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 10, 2026

Tue, Feb 10GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

15 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
1620 Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
2022 Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Goofy Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Halfpipe Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Hand Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Livigno Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Powder Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
X Games Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Lindsey Vonn No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
1800 No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bored / Boring No–new new word, no probability yet–
Goggle No–new new word, no probability yet–
Injury / Injured No–new new word, no probability yet–
Record No–new new word, no probability yet–
Red Bull No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP