Winter Olympics: Game, Feb 20, 2026

Fri, Feb 20GameHistory onlyWinter Olympics

Updated

Markets

18 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Captain Yes84%n=6 from settlement history–
Glass Yes77%n=8 from settlement history–
Overtime Yes77%n=8 from settlement history–
First Time / First Timer Yes74%n=7 from settlement history–
Comeback / Come back Yes68%n=8 from settlement history–
NHL Yes64%n=10 from settlement history–
Short Side Yes50%n=8 from settlement history–
What a Save Yes43%n=3 from settlement history–
What a Goal / What a Shot Yes13%n=9 from settlement history–
Shootout No77%n=8 from settlement history–
Shutout No77%n=8 from settlement history–
Crowd / Crowded No72%n=6 from settlement history–
Fight / Fighting No67%n=8 from settlement history–
Minnesota No59%n=3 from settlement history–
Veteran No41%n=8 from settlement history–
Hat Trick No24%n=8 from settlement history–
Heated Rivalry No20%n=5 from settlement history–
Miracle on Ice No16%n=7 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWOMENTION-26FEB28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP