Will Scott Bessent say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Crypto / Bitcoin” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Crypto / Bitcoin
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Crypto / Bitcoin |  Kalshi | No |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Crypto / Bitcoin” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Crypto / Bitcoin” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Crypto / Bitcoin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/bitcoin-or-crypto (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP