Will Melania Trump say “School”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Melania Trump said “School” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (38%), most recently on Jun 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=melania-trump&word=school

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Melania Trump

School

Probability
37% · n=8
Settled
3/8 (38%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Melania Trump yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Melania say during her announcement? · not listed

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What will Melania say during Fox & Friends? · not listed

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What will Melania say during her Fostering the Future announcement? · not listed

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What will Melania say during her NC remarks? · not listed

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What will Melania say during her IndyCar announcement? · settled no

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What will Melania say during her Fostering the Future Accounts announcement? · settled no

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What will Melania say during the AI Challenge Awards Ceremony? · settled yes

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What will Melania say during the First Lady’s Luncheon? · settled yes

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What will Melania say during her roundtable discussion? · settled no

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What will Melania say during her remarks? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 20, 2026SchoolKalshiNo
Jun 11, 2026SchoolKalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026SchoolKalshiYes
Apr 23, 2026SchoolKalshiYes
Apr 15, 2026SchoolKalshiNo
Apr 9, 2026SchoolPolymarketNo
Apr 9, 2026SchoolKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026SchoolKalshiYes
Mar 24, 2026SchoolKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Melania Trump say “School”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Melania Trump said “School” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 24, 2026 (38%), most recently on Jun 9, 2026.
What is the probability Melania Trump says “School” next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Melania Trump: ‘School’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/melania-trump/words/school (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=melania-trump&word=school · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=melania-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP