Will Melania Trump say “Documentary”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Melania Trump did not say “Documentary” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
30%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Melania Trump
Documentary
- Probability
- 30% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Melania Trump yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Documentary |  Kalshi | No |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Documentary | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Melania Trump say “Documentary”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Melania Trump did not say “Documentary” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025.
- What is the probability Melania Trump says “Documentary” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Melania Trump: ‘Documentary’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/melania-trump/words/documentary (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=melania-trump&word=documentary · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=melania-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP