Will Kathy Hochul say “Mental Health”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Mental Health” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jun 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Mental Health
- Probability
- 45% · n=7
- Settled
- 3/7 (43%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Mental Health |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Mental Health”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Mental Health” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jun 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Mental Health” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Mental Health’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/mental-health (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=mental%20health · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP