What is the probability Jon Ossoff says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?

33%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jon Ossoff say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?

Name: Jon Ossoff: “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Jon Ossoff said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 2 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (18%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 14, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

33%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes no no no
Streak: not said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 22:05 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jon Ossoff

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability: 33% · n=11
Settled: 2/11 (18%)
Last 7 episodes: said in 1 of 7

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

videootherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 17:18In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Jon OssoffguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 21:33In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

adotherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), September 14, 2026 · Sep 14, 2026 · 36:41In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.