Will JD Vance say “Voter ID / VoterID”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Voter ID / VoterID” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 17, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Voter ID / VoterID
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the American people love the SAVE America Act because they believe in voter ID? But how many of those same senators don't want to vote…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Voter ID / VoterID |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Voter ID / VoterID”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Voter ID / VoterID” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 17, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Voter ID / VoterID” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Voter ID / VoterID’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/voter-id-or-voterid (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=voter%20id%20%2F%20voterid · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP