What is the probability JD Vance says “Union / Unionization” next time?

50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will JD Vance say “Union / Unionization”?

Name: JD Vance: “Union / Unionization” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Union / Unionization” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2025.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 11:31 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

Union / Unionization

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 5 transcripts: said in 0 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Karoline LeavittspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Oct. 1, 2025 · Oct 1, 2025 · 3:13In transcript

…across the country agree with the Trump administration and Republicans. The labor union leader, the Teamsters, Sean O'Brien, sent a very blunt message to Democrats…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Aug 28, 2025	Union / Unionization	Polymarket	Yes

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Union / Unionization”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Union / Unionization” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2025.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Union / Unionization” next time?: 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Union / Unionization’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/union-or-unionization (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=union%20%2F%20unionization · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP