Will JD Vance say “Trump” 30+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Trump” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 1, 2024.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 debates have transcripts, it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Trump 30+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…things in order to build upon the great success of the first Trump administration and deliver wins for working people: no taxes on Social Security,…
…guess my message to them would be twofold. Number one, Donald J. Trump is the only head of state in the entire world who is…
…seen a much better crop of talent come into Washington since Donald Trump has been the leader of the party and the leader of the…
…doing, in order to help coordinate this remarkable interagency effort from the Trump administration but also to make sure that we prosecute the bad guys…
…The answer is a decision made by the Biden administration that the Trump administration working with congressional Republicans undid. We turned off that money spigot…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2024 | Trump 30+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Trump 30+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Trump” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 1, 2024.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Trump 30+ times” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Trump 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/trump-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=trump%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP