Will JD Vance say “Terror / Terrorist”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Terror / Terrorist” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Terror / Terrorist
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…work of our troops, we would have had an energy crisis because the Iranians refused to stop acting like terrorists in the Strait of Hormuz.
…we're going to be able to see if they try to fund terrorist organizations, we're going to be able to see that. But you said…
…I don't want them to inherit a world where 20 additional regimes, half of them very dangerous and very sympathetic to terrorists have nuclear weapons.
…a group of left-wing radicals have been working tirelessly, sometimes using domestic terror techniques to try to make it impossible for the president of the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Terror / Terrorist |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Terror / Terrorist”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Terror / Terrorist” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Terror / Terrorist” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Terror / Terrorist’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/terror-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=terror%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP