Will JD Vance say “Steve / Witkoff”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Steve / Witkoff” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 13, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Steve / Witkoff
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…negotiation. I don't think any of us, meaning me, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, had any great confidence that we were going to be able…
…want to get ahead of any announcement at this podium. I'm going to let Special Envoy Witkoff and the president of United States handle that.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Steve / Witkoff |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Steve / Witkoff”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Steve / Witkoff” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 13, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Steve / Witkoff” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Steve / Witkoff’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/steve-or-witkoff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=steve%20%2F%20witkoff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP