Will JD Vance say “Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 9, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…message to her would be, we love you, we're grateful for the sacrifice and we very much take very seriously our commitment to get you…
…have people that can't afford groceries. Gas is high. People are making sacrifices in their personal lives to accommodate for this rise in prices. People…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, JD Vance said “Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Sacrifice / Sacrificed / Sacrificing’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/sacrifice-or-sacrificed-or-sacrificing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=sacrifice%20%2F%20sacrificed%20%2F%20sacrificing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP