Will JD Vance say “Ross / Ulbricht”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Ross / Ulbricht” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Ross / Ulbricht
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…economy on pricing but also on people's jobs. Okay, I have... I'm going to call on John. I'm just going to start calling. John Ross.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | Ross / Ulbricht |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Ross / Ulbricht”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Ross / Ulbricht” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Ross / Ulbricht” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Ross / Ulbricht’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/ross-or-ulbricht (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=ross%20%2F%20ulbricht · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP