Will JD Vance say “Regime”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Regime” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 3, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Regime
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…behavior. What would that look like? That would mean a real inspections regime. That would mean a real enforcement regime. As the MOU contemplates, that…
…kids, I don't want them to inherit a world where 20 additional regimes, half of them very dangerous and very sympathetic to terrorists have nuclear…
…for free association and to have their voices heard. Obviously, the Iranian regime has a lot of problems. And as the president of United States…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Regime |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Regime”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Regime” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 3, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Regime” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Regime’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/regime (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=regime · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP