Will JD Vance say “President”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “President” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2025.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
President
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 5 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to brag on my boss too much, but I do think the president has set us about to be the most transparent administration in history,…
…couple of things off the bat. First of all, I think the president's peace plan in Iran is already bearing real fruits for the American…
…benefit from it. So we're going to keep that work up. The President of the United States has been very clear that he wants us…
…run out of the White House under the supervision of me and the president of the United States. And number two, it's actually constitutionally legitimate.
…they care a lot about lowering healthcare costs, and yet when the president took historic action to work with the drug companies to lower prescription…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | President |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “President”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “President” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “President” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘President’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/president (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=president · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP