Will JD Vance say “Obama / Obamacare”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Obama / Obamacare” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Obama / Obamacare
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…about this deal compared to the JCPOA in 2015? This is the Obama nuclear deal. Well, back then, they hated that deal. They felt like…
…survived the invasion of Russia than Donald Trump. As he famously said, "Obama gave them sheets, I gave them javelins," and it was those javelins…
…Look, for years, every single one of us, we can remember Barack Obama on the White House lawn. We can remember Chuck Schumer. We can…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Obama / Obamacare |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Obama / Obamacare”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Obama / Obamacare” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Obama / Obamacare” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Obama / Obamacare’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/obama-or-obamacare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=obama%20%2F%20obamacare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP