Will JD Vance say “Kamala Harris” 30+ times?

As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Kamala Harris” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 1, 2024.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 debates have transcripts, it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=kamala%20harris%20%2830%2B%20times%29

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JD Vance

Kamala Harris 30+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 0 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

QreporterPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Oct. 1, 2025 · Oct 1, 2025 · 8:48In transcript

…first is that you're seeing a number of top Democrat leaders from Kamala Harris to Chuck Schumer to Hakeem Jeffries claim that it is a…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 1, 2024Kamala Harris 30+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Kamala Harris 30+ times”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Kamala Harris” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 1, 2024.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Kamala Harris 30+ times” next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Kamala Harris 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/kamala-harris-30plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=kamala%20harris%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP