Will JD Vance say “Joe Biden”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Joe Biden” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 26, 2026.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Joe Biden
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…guys can probably guess, I'm really looking forward to hanging out with Joe Biden. I'm sure that we'll have many, many intense intellectual conversations and…
…very simple, that if you are willing to turn the page on Joe Biden's law fair, why don't we prosecute people? Very simple principle. Why…
…officer who's just doing their job. We had a wide-open border under Joe Biden. I happen to think it's a good thing the president United…
…high standards that it has had for virtually its entire history until Joe Biden came along and decided to lower standards. I think it was…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Joe Biden |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Joe Biden”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Joe Biden” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 26, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Joe Biden” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Joe Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/joe-biden (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=joe%20biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP